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| Last Major Comstock Report | FEET DON'T FAIL ME NOW Dated, but not out of date 12/10/99
The list of negative factors impacting the stock market has now become so numerous that it is highly likely that a severe bear market has already started
Comstock Funds - Contrarian Charlie Minter Bear Market Bearish
Introduction
The list of negative factors affecting the stock market has now become so numerous that it is highly likely that a severe bear market has already started. We begin with the fact that, as measured by earnings and dividends, this is by far the most overvalued market of the past century.[More] |
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Not Insane After All! 10/31/08 Hi once again (I've been reading your comments for years now and have mailed you a few times) from Ireland. I'm not an investor just someone who studied economics (and then lectured it briefly) so have a real interest in the subject and I must congratulate you on your analysis over the years. In all my reading on the net you'd be in the minority who saw this coming from what I could tell (Stephen Roach at Morgan Stanley, Shiller, Faber, writers at Prudentbear.com, and some Austrian economists to name the ones I came across). I never doubted what you said excluding one period and I mailed you about China and India being able to sustain the boom for like you I was confused as to why it just kept going.[More] | Right On The Money 10/09/08 Wow! the recent writings have been right on the money. Apparently, the economic guru's of the day have abandoned their posts as defenders of capitalist ideaology and rhetoric for socialistic bandaids (presumably taking a page from the former soviet union since spastic intervention has worked so well over there). Perhaps at first site of the next big dow plunge, they will close the markets for a couple of days and hope things are better when they decide to reopen.
I have a couple of questions if you dont mind:
As someone who not only called but aggressively capitalized on the 87 crash, what similarities and differences do you see that collapse and this one?
I agree, of course, that we have not reached any form of capitulation although I am sure we have taken a few strides in that direction since last thursdays commentary.[More] | You Are Not Missing A Thing 10/02/08 Gentlemen,
You are not missing a thing. I am a reader of the column for quite some time. What would be of value to point out is the insurance industry is going to a slow train wreck similar to the banks high speed crash. While being better risk managers and better capitalized, the life and annuity companies are big buyers of corp debt.[More] | From Costa Rica Your Article Headwinds vs. Tailwinds 9/16/08
I just found this e-mail that was sent in May. A lot has manifested itself since. The economic catastrophe has become visible.
5/17/08 As usual this is a well-written, balanced article with much information.[More] | Good Column 9/08/08 Charlie good column. Trailing twelve months $52 is the lowest since the end of 2003, so to get to the same PE as then the S&P has to drop 200 points to 1030.. I have been looking at the S&P as a 30 now 32 month head and shoulder.1560-1230=330..subtract that from 1230 and you get 900. Sept 01 bottom 950 is the only hard bottom from current 1230 to the 2002-2003 lows..[More] |
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